Will We See A Recession In 2024 Lok. “a 2024 recession is no longer our baseline view, and a ‘soft landing’ can’t be ruled out,” the company said. The lag effect suggests that a recession could develop in the first half of 2024, leading to a projected rate cut by the federal reserve in the summer of 2024.
In this graphic, we show the probability of a u.s. “a 2024 recession is no longer our baseline view, and a ‘soft landing’ can’t be ruled out,” the company said.